“Essentially Impossible” to Stop Global Warming at 1.5°C, New Report Warns of Worldwide Devastation

On: November 15, 2025 3:18 PM
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Global Warming

A new report on global warming delivers a stark warning: the efforts we are making to save our planet and its environment are proving insufficient. As the world gathers in Belém, Brazil, for the COP30 climate summit to save the Earth, a report on global warming paints a frightening picture.

The report states that global emissions from fossil fuels are set to reach a new peak in 2025. It also warns that it is now essentially “impossible” to stop global warming from rising above the 1.5°C red line.

  • Note: The 1.5°C global warming target refers to the goal of limiting the Earth’s average temperature increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. It is a central aim of the Paris Agreement, as exceeding this threshold significantly raises the risk of extreme weather events like droughts, heatwaves, and floods.

What Does the New Report Find?

The Annual Global Carbon Budget report analyzes CO2 emissions from human activities—such as burning hydrocarbons, cement production, and land use change like deforestation—and measures them against the warming limits set by the 2015 Paris Agreement (1.5°C).

According to an AFP report, an international team of scientists found that CO2 emissions from fossil fuels will be 1.1 percent higher in 2025 compared to the previous year. New renewable technology worldwide is still not enough to compensate for growing energy demand.

With emissions from oil, gas, and coal rising, the total is set to reach a record 38.1 billion tonnes of CO2.

A Dwindling Carbon Budget

The new study, released during the COP30 climate talks, calculated the remaining “carbon budget” to limit warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. This budget now stands at 170 billion tonnes of CO2.

Pierre Friedlingstein of the University of Exeter, who led the research, stated, “At current emissions levels, this budget is equal to four years of emissions before it is exhausted. Therefore, stopping warming before crossing the 1.5°C red line is essentially impossible.”